March 2017 Forecast of Prime Economic Indicators
2017 Forecast of Prime Economic Indicators
Real GDP | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price | Residential Unit Sales | Low Price | Bencmark Price | High Price |
-0.01% | 0.19% | 0.31% | -1.34% | -0.12% | 0.64% | ||
Employment | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price | Housing Starts | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price |
-2.35% | -2.27% | -2.23% | 5.23% | 9.02% | 11.55% | ||
Hours Worked | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price | Housing Prices | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price |
-3.94% | -3.67% | -3.52% | -1.63% | -0.87% | -0.39% | ||
Hourly Wage | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price | CPI | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price |
4.55% | 5.01% | 5.31% | 2.71% | 3.02% | 3.21% | ||
All numbers in this table represent annual growth rates for the 2017 calendar year | |||||||
Retail Sales | Low Price | Benchmark Price | High Price | ||||
2.38% | 2.79% | 3.05% |
Key:
Low Price | The low Price was computed assuming an average Brent (USD) price of oil of $42.38 for the 2017 calendar year. The oil price forecasts are provided by the United States Energy Information Agency (EIA). |
Benchmark Price | The benchmark price was computed assuming an average Brent (USD) price of oil of $52.38 for the 2017 calendar year. The oil price forecasts are provided by the United States Energy Information Agency (EIA). |
High Price | The high Price was computed assuming an average Brent (USD) price of oil of $62.38 for the 2017 calendar year. The oil price forecasts are provided by the United States Energy Information Agency (EIA). |
The forecasts above were computed using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) method. Data sources are available upon request.