Basic Concepts of Coalescence: Complete
Coalescence
Coalescence
is the idea that all genetic variation in a
finite population is lost over finite time. Looked at backwards
in time, a population of N individuals after
t generations will all be descended from a single
individual in the earliest generation, and thus will have
only the allele(s) present in that individual, subject to
mutation.
The array shows a population of haploid
individuals that has a constant size of N=10 for 15
generations. Each horizontal row represents a
generation; time proceeds from top to
bottom. Lines in the graph show parent-to-offspring descent.
All individuals in the Present (bottom row) are shown in red: if they are traced
backwards in time (upward), all ten
coalesce in a single Most Recent Common Ancestor
(MRCA) in the third
generation from the top. That is, all other variant alleles
present in the third generation have been eliminated in the
15th generation.
Coalescence does not require change in
population size, which remains constant at N=10 over
the entire interval. Nor does it require a selective
advantage for the coalescent ancestor. Ordinary (Poisson)
variance in expected offspring number is sufficient, where
approximately 1/3 of individuals will produce 0, 1, or 2 or
more offspring in the next generation.
HOMEWORK: (1) For each
of the other nine individuals in the first generation,
identify the individual at which the lineage disappears.
(2)
Some descendants of the MRCA in generation 3 are
not shown in red: how
do you interpret this?
(3)
Redraw the descendants of the MRCA in lineages that
lead to the present: how many separate lineages are present
in each generation?
(4)
Identify the error(s) in NS
03-02.
Figure after
©
2013 by Sinauer; Text material © 2022 by Steven M. Carr