NS 04-02

Island Model of Migration

    Consider a small island adjacent to a mainland. As the mainland population is much larger than that of the island, movement of individuals (migration) from the mainland to the island has a large impact on the composition of the island gene pool, whereas movement in the other direction contributes relatively little to the mainland gene pool. Under these conditions, the migration rate (m) can be estimated as the fraction of newly-arrived immigrants from the mainland in the island population.

    The picture illustrates the scenario of natural selection. The mainland has a dark background, where dark individuals are cryptic and light individuals non-cryptic. Selection will favor the former. In contrast, the island has a light background, on which light individuals are cryptic and dark individual non-cryptic. Absent movement between mainland and the island, each population will tend to become fixed for the cryptic phenotype. Given migration at a rate m from the mainland to the island, an initial difference in the frequency of q of the allele for the dark color on the island (qi) and mainland (qm), and differential selection on q on the island and mainland, the island frequency qi will eventually arrive at an equilibrium determined by the differential fitness of the non-cryptic allele and its replacement from the mainland.


Figure modified from © 2013 by Sinauer; Text material © 2020 by Steven M. Carr