Derivation of Mutation / Selection equilibrium 

Consider rare, recessive, deleterious allele a

    f(a) = q << 1   &   f(A) = p ~ 1
    f(Aa) =  µ  mutation rate (# new mutant alleles / gamete / generation)

: equilibrium between loss of a due to selection
                                     & replacement of a by new mutation

        change in f(a) due to selectionqs = -spq2 / (1 - sq2)     [complete dominance model]
        change in f(a) due to mutationqµ  = µp

Then   qµ  +  q =  µp -  spq2 / (1 - sq2)
                                 µ -  spq                    [ (1 - sq2)    1   if   q << p ]
                              =  (p) (µ - sq2)

At equilibrium q = 0 = (p) (µ - s2)
                                             µ - s2          [if 1 ]
                              s2 =  µ
                                2 =  µ / s

                           =µ / s )0.5


Text material © 2025 by Steven M. Carr