Genetic
        drift in multiple populations

Genetic Drift of rare neutral alleles in multiple populations
( f(B) = 0.05, N = 10, W0 = W1 = W2 = 1 )

    In each of 100 populations of size N = 10 with a single new neutral allele, there are 2N = 20 alleles, and initial f(B) = 0.05.  A large majority of populations go to f(B) = 0.0 before 50 generations: five go to fixation (f(B) = 1.0) within 300 generations. In the absence of selection, for a population with initial f(B), the expectation of fixation per population by genetic drift is also f(B). Note that in the last population that goes to fixation, f(B) has fluctuated widely over time, above and below 0.5.


Figure & Text material © 2025 by Steven M. Carr